Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.004093 0.004480 0.004895 0.005375 0.005916 0.006510 0.007214
2025-10-26 0.003422 0.003955 0.004570 0.005336 0.006274 0.007394 0.008850
2025-11-02 0.003009 0.003602 0.004318 0.005256 0.006470 0.008011 0.010154
2025-11-09 0.002751 0.003387 0.004182 0.005268 0.006741 0.008709 0.011615
2025-11-16 0.002523 0.003177 0.004021 0.005212 0.006892 0.009239 0.012893
2025-11-23 0.002318 0.002975 0.003844 0.005106 0.006946 0.009622 0.013987
2025-11-30 0.002200 0.002876 0.003792 0.005161 0.007226 0.010351 0.015706
2025-12-07 0.002130 0.002835 0.003813 0.005317 0.007666 0.011366 0.018039
2025-12-14 0.002003 0.002703 0.003692 0.005248 0.007743 0.011806 0.019448
2025-12-21 0.001879 0.002565 0.003553 0.005136 0.007738 0.012102 0.020632
2025-12-28 0.001782 0.002463 0.003456 0.005081 0.007817 0.012543 0.022155
2026-01-04 0.001720 0.002406 0.003424 0.005125 0.008061 0.013302 0.024432
2026-01-11 0.001633 0.002310 0.003331 0.005069 0.008146 0.013808 0.026354
2026-01-18 0.001556 0.002226 0.003252 0.005033 0.008263 0.014401 0.028612
2026-01-25 0.001478 0.002135 0.003157 0.004959 0.008301 0.014839 0.030605
2026-02-01 0.001424 0.002079 0.003113 0.004970 0.008499 0.015624 0.033611
2026-02-08 0.001362 0.002007 0.003037 0.004918 0.008567 0.016145 0.036078
2026-02-15 0.001296 0.001925 0.002940 0.004819 0.008533 0.016436 0.038003
2026-02-22 0.001263 0.001893 0.002925 0.004870 0.008805 0.017452 0.042221
2026-03-01 0.001247 0.001890 0.002960 0.005015 0.009289 0.019034 0.048599
2026-03-08 0.001198 0.001828 0.002888 0.004951 0.009316 0.019522 0.051728
2026-03-15 0.001145 0.001759 0.002799 0.004847 0.009248 0.019766 0.054129
2026-03-22 0.001104 0.001708 0.002739 0.004796 0.009293 0.020303 0.057728